{"id":2345,"date":"2016-01-23T08:44:56","date_gmt":"2016-01-22T23:44:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/?p=2345"},"modified":"2016-03-20T18:02:46","modified_gmt":"2016-03-20T09:02:46","slug":"%e3%82%b8%e3%83%a7%e3%83%bc%e3%82%b8%e3%83%bb%e3%82%bd%e3%83%ad%e3%82%b9%e6%b0%8f-2016%e5%b9%b4%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e5%90%8c%e6%99%82%e6%a0%aa%e5%ae%89%e3%81%ae%e5%8e%9f%e5%9b%a0%e3%81%af%e4%b8%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/2345","title":{"rendered":"\u30b8\u30e7\u30fc\u30b8\u30fb\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f: 2016\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u540c\u6642\u682a\u5b89\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306f\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306f\u65e2\u306b\u5d29\u58ca\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u30b9\u30a4\u30b9\u306e\u30c0\u30dc\u30b9\u3067\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30e9\u30e0\uff08\u901a\u79f0\u30c0\u30dc\u30b9\u4f1a\u8b70\uff09\u304c\u958b\u50ac\u3055\u308c\u308b\u306a\u304b\u3001\u8457\u540d\u30d8\u30c3\u30b8\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c9\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u306e\u30b8\u30e7\u30fc\u30b8\u30fb\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u304cBloomberg\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30bf\u30d3\u30e5\u30fc\uff08<a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2016-01-21\/george-soros-says-he-expects-hard-landing-for-chinese-economy\" target=\"_blank\">\u82f1\u8a9e<\/a>\uff09\u306b\u7b54\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u90e8\u5206\u3092\u7ffb\u8a33\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/api\/embed\/iframe?id=Zkj0GWO6QryZrfvFVBgLfQ\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><!--more-->2016\u5e741\u6708\u304b\u3089\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u540c\u6642\u682a\u5b89\u304c2008\u5e74\u306e\u30ea\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30fb\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3082\u306e\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u3068\u805e\u304b\u308c\u3001\u3053\u3046\u7b54\u3048\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u308f\u308c\u308f\u308c\u306f2008\u5e74\u3092\u7e70\u308a\u8fd4\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u6839\u672c\u7684\u306a\u539f\u56e0\u306f\u540c\u3058\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u5f53\u6642\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u30b5\u30d6\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30e0\u30fb\u30ed\u30fc\u30f3\u306e\u5d29\u58ca\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u6df7\u4e71\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306f\u4e3b\u306b\u4e2d\u56fd\u3060\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u682a\u4fa1\u4e0b\u843d\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u69d8\u3005\u306a\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u304c\u69d8\u3005\u306a\u610f\u898b\u3092\u8868\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u8457\u540d\u306a\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u306a\u304b\u3067\u306f\u6df7\u4e71\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u58f0\u304c\u591a\u304f\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u3082\u305d\u308c\u306b\u540c\u610f\u3059\u308b\u304c\u3001\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u306f\u305d\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306f\u4e2d\u56fd\u3060\u3068\u8a00\u3044\u5207\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u554f\u984c\u306f\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u3068\u904e\u5927\u306a\u50b5\u52d9\u3060\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u8ca0\u50b5\u306f\u6050\u3089\u304fGDP\u6bd4\u3067300%\u304b\u3001\u5bfe\u5916\u50b5\u52d9\u3092\u5408\u308f\u305b\u308c\u3070350%\u306b\u3082\u4e0a\u308b\u307b\u3069\u6df1\u523b\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3082\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u8f38\u51fa\u4e3b\u5c0e\u304b\u3089\u5185\u9700\u4e3b\u5c0e\u3078\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u6539\u9769\u3092\u9577\u304f\u653e\u7f6e\u3057\u904e\u304e\u305f\u3002\u3060\u304b\u3089\u30cf\u30fc\u30c9\u30e9\u30f3\u30c7\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306f\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u306a\u306e\u3060\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u30af\u30a9\u30f3\u30bf\u30e0\u30fb\u30d5\u30a1\u30f3\u30c9\u3092\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u7acb\u3061\u4e0a\u3052\u305f\u30b8\u30e0\u30fb\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30ba\u6c0f\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u6df7\u4e71\u306f\u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u305b\u3044\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u8a00\u3044\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u3092\u64c1\u8b77\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/2334\">\u30b8\u30e0\u30fb\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30ba\u6c0f: 2016\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u540c\u6642\u682a\u5b89\u306f\u30ea\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30fb\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u304c\u3044\u307e\u3060\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u4e8c\u4eba\u306e\u610f\u898b\u3092\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u306a\u304b\u306a\u304b\u9762\u767d\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u8868\u9762\u7684\u306b\u306f\u98df\u3044\u9055\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u898b\u3048\u308b\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u306f\u4e8c\u4eba\u306e\u898b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306f\u540c\u3058\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u3001\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u8a18\u8005\u306b\u4e2d\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u30cf\u30fc\u30c9\u30e9\u30f3\u30c7\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u3092\u4e88\u60f3\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3068\u5ff5\u3092\u62bc\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u3001\u3053\u3046\u7b54\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u5d29\u58ca\u306f\u3082\u3046\u8d77\u3053\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3002\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u4e88\u60f3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b\u4e2d\u56fd\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306e\u5d29\u58ca\u3092\u76ee\u6483\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3060\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u305d\u308c\u306b\u5bfe\u51e6\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u306b\u306f\u4ed6\u306e\u56fd\u3068\u306f\u9055\u3044\u3001\u69d8\u3005\u306a\u624b\u6bb5\u304c\u3042\u308b\u30023\u5146\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u5916\u8ca8\u6e96\u5099\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u554f\u984c\u306f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u3092\u4ed6\u56fd\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u8f38\u51fa\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u306f\u3001\u3082\u3057\u5185\u9700\u578b\u3078\u306e\u5909\u9769\u304c\u4e0a\u624b\u304f\u884c\u304b\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u30012\u30013\u5e74\u306f\u8aa4\u3063\u305f\u65b9\u5411\u3092\u9032\u307f\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3060\u304c\u751f\u304d\u6b8b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3001\u3059\u306a\u308f\u3061\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u3001\u4f55\u3088\u308a\u554f\u984c\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u6050\u3089\u304f\u3053\u3053\u304c\u4e2d\u56fd\u682a\u3092\u5e95\u5024\u3067\u8cb7\u3063\u305f\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u89b3\u306b\u7e4b\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u6e1b\u901f\u306f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3088\u308a\u3082\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u5168\u4f53\u306b\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5f71\u97ff\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u898b\u65b9\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u91cf\u7684\u7de9\u548c\u3092\u65e2\u306b\u884c\u3063\u305f\u5148\u9032\u56fd\u3068\u306f\u9055\u3044\u3001\u4eba\u6c11\u5143\u306e\u5207\u308a\u4e0b\u3052\u306a\u3069\u4e2d\u56fd\u306b\u306f\u666f\u6c17\u523a\u6fc0\u7b56\u304c\u6b8b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/2031\">Form 13F: \u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u304c\u4e2d\u56fd\u682a\u8cb7\u3044\u5897\u3057\u3001\u6700\u5927\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306f\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u30bd\u30f3\u6c0f\u3068\u540c\u4e00\u9298\u67c4<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u8a71\u3092\u79fb\u305d\u3046\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u540c\u6642\u682a\u5b89\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u512a\u308c\u305f\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u304c\u5171\u901a\u3057\u3066\u6307\u6458\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306f\u4f4e\u3044\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u306e\u9577\u671f\u30b5\u30a4\u30af\u30eb\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u610f\u5473\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30bf\u30d3\u30e5\u30fc\u306e\u306a\u304b\u3067\u4e00\u756a\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u7b87\u6240\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u30ad\u30fc\u30ef\u30fc\u30c9\u306f\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u3060\u3002\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u3068\u306f\u308f\u308c\u308f\u308c\u304c\u7d4c\u9a13\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306e\u306a\u3044\u7d4c\u6e08\u72b6\u6cc1\u3060\u3002\u8ab0\u3082\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u306e\u306a\u304b\u3067\u751f\u304d\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u308f\u308c\u308f\u308c\u304c\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u3092\u7d4c\u9a13\u3057\u305f\u306e\u306f1930\u5e74\u4ee3\u3060\u3002\u305d\u306e\u9803\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u751f\u304d\u3066\u306f\u3044\u305f\u304c\u3001\u307e\u3060\u30de\u30fc\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u306f\u53c2\u52a0\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\uff08\u4f1a\u5834\u7b11\u3001\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u306f1930\u5e74\u751f\u307e\u308c\uff09\u3002\u3060\u304b\u3089\u308f\u308c\u308f\u308c\u306f\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u3069\u3046\u5bfe\u51e6\u3057\u3066\u3044\u3044\u306e\u304b\u5206\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3060\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u306f1929\u5e74\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u6050\u614c\u4ee5\u5f8c\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u72b6\u6cc1\u306b\u8a00\u53ca\u3057\u305f\u3002\u305d\u3057\u3066\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30ba\u6c0f\u306f<a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/2334\">\u4e0a\u8a18\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b<\/a>\u3067\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f1985\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u306e\u4ed8\u3051\u3092\u6255\u3046\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u305f\u3002\u5f7c\u3089\u4e8c\u4eba\u306f\u540c\u3058\u3082\u306e\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306f\u4f55\u304b\uff1f\u3000\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/2015-11-us-federal-funds-rate-historical-chart.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-2223\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2223\" src=\"http:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/2015-11-us-federal-funds-rate-historical-chart.png\" alt=\"2015-11-us-federal-funds-rate-historical-chart\" width=\"427\" height=\"346\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/2015-11-us-federal-funds-rate-historical-chart.png 427w, https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/2015-11-us-federal-funds-rate-historical-chart-300x243.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 427px) 100vw, 427px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u306f\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u30bc\u30ed\u306b\u843d\u3061\u8fbc\u3093\u30601930\u5e74\u53f0\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3057\u3001\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30ba\u6c0f\u306f\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u9802\u70b9\u306b\u9054\u3057\u305f1985\u5e74\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3057\u305f\u3002\u4f55\u5341\u5e74\u3082\u524d\u306b\u8882\u3092\u5206\u304b\u3063\u305f\u4e8c\u4eba\u3060\u304c\u3001\u7d50\u5c40\u540c\u3058\u3082\u306e\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u306f\u9762\u767d\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f70\u5e74\u3076\u308a\u306b\u30bc\u30ed\u91d1\u5229\u306b\u7a81\u5165\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30bd\u30ed\u30b9\u6c0f\u304c\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u30bc\u30ed\u91d1\u5229\u304b\u3089\u306e\u8131\u5374\u306f\u305d\u3046\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u306f\u9032\u307e\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u306fFed\uff08\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\uff09\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u5931\u6557\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/2327\">\u4e16\u754c\u540c\u6642\u682a\u5b89\u3067\u7c73\u56fd\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u3069\u3046\u306a\u308b\uff1f: 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