{"id":58640,"date":"2025-01-18T20:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-01-18T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/?p=58640"},"modified":"2025-01-19T12:41:42","modified_gmt":"2025-01-19T03:41:42","slug":"%e3%82%ac%e3%83%b3%e3%83%89%e3%83%a9%e3%83%83%e3%82%af%e6%b0%8f-%e7%b1%b3%e5%9b%bd%e6%a0%aa%e3%81%8c%e4%b8%8a%e3%81%8c%e3%82%8a%e7%b6%9a%e3%81%91%e3%81%9f%e9%81%8e%e5%8e%bb%e6%95%b0%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/58640","title":{"rendered":"\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f: \u7c73\u56fd\u682a\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u305f\u904e\u53bb\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u306f\u3082\u3046\u5e30\u3063\u3066\u3053\u306a\u3044"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u3001DoubleLine Capital\u306e\u30b8\u30a7\u30d5\u30ea\u30fc\u30fb\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306e\u4eca\u5e74\u521d\u306e\u81ea\u793e\u914d\u4fe1\u52d5\u753b\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8a9e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u90e8\u5206\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u4e0a\u3052\u305f\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u4e0b\u304c\u3089\u306a\u3044\u9577\u671f\u91d1\u5229<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u5e74\u59cb\u65e9\u3005\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u56fd\u50b5\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5371\u967a\u6027\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u524d\u56de\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u306f\u3001Fed\uff08\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\uff09\u304c\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u9577\u671f\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u7570\u5e38\u3067\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u304b\u3089\u8cc7\u91d1\u304c\u9003\u907f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u8a3c\u62e0\u3060\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/58610\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"58610\">\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f: \u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3067\u9577\u671f\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u66b4\u843d\u306e\u4e88\u5146<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u539f\u56e0\u306e1\u3064\u306f\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u4e0a\u6607\u3067\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u306e\u5229\u6255\u3044\u304c\u5897\u3048\u3001\u56fd\u50b5\u306e\u5229\u6255\u3044\u8cbb\u7528\u3060\u3051\u3067GDP\u306e4%\u8fd1\u304f\u306b\u9054\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/2024-2q-us-federal-government-interest-payment-to-gdp-chart.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"448\" height=\"466\" src=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/2024-2q-us-federal-government-interest-payment-to-gdp-chart.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-51669\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/2024-2q-us-federal-government-interest-payment-to-gdp-chart.png 448w, https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/2024-2q-us-federal-government-interest-payment-to-gdp-chart-288x300.png 288w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 448px) 100vw, 448px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306f\u56fd\u50b5\u306e\u5229\u6255\u3044\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u65b0\u305f\u306a\u56fd\u50b5\u3092\u767a\u884c\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6025\u5897\u3059\u308b\u56fd\u50b5\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u8cb7\u3044\u624b\u304c\u8ffd\u3044\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u6642\u306e\u56fd\u50b5\u5e02\u5834<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u307e\u3060\u7121\u4e8b\u306a\u72b6\u6cc1\u3067\u3082\u56fd\u50b5\u306b\u8cb7\u3044\u624b\u304c\u898b\u3064\u304b\u3089\u306a\u304f\u306a\u308a\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308b\u306e\u306b\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u8ca1\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u304c\u5927\u5e45\u306b\u5897\u3048\u305f\u3089\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u306f\u3069\u3046\u306a\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306e\u4e3b\u5f35\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304c\u901a\u5e38\u306e\u74b0\u5883\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308b\u300c\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u300d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u56fd\u50b5\u306b\u8cb7\u3044\u304c\u5165\u308a\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u306f\u4e0b\u304c\u308b\u306e\u304c\u666e\u901a\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304c\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u3053\u3046\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u300c\u904e\u53bb40\u5e74\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u6642\u306b\u9577\u671f\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u4e0b\u304c\u3089\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u4f55\u6545\u9577\u671f\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u4e0b\u304c\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3093\u3060\uff1f\u300d\u3068\u3042\u308b\u4eba\u304c\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306b\u8a00\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u306f\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u76f8\u5834\u74b0\u5883\u304c\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u3068\u306f\u9055\u3046\u304b\u3089\u3060\u3068\u7b54\u3048\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u306e\u4eba\u306f\u300c\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304b\u3001\u3067\u3082\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u754c\u304c\u9577\u3044\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u305d\u308c\u304c\u5371\u967a\u306a\u8a00\u8449\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3092\u77e5\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d\u3068\u53cd\u5fdc\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u306a\u3089\u3042\u306a\u305f\u306b\u306f\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30b9\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u300d\u306f\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u3092\u6b63\u5f53\u5316\u3059\u308b\u6642\u306b\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u754c\u3067\u3088\u304f\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u308b\u8a00\u8449\u3060\u3002\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306f\u3044\u3064\u3082\u5d29\u58ca\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u3068\u3044\u3046\u308f\u3051\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u63a8\u79fb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u91d1\u5229\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u306f\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9055\u3046\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u8aad\u8005\u306f\u3069\u3046\u601d\u3046\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u3068\u306f\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u4e0b\u304c\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u305f\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306b\u4e0a\u304c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u304c\u60aa\u304f\u306a\u308b\u5ea6\u306b\u91d1\u5229\u306f\u5927\u5e45\u306b\u4e0b\u304c\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u3046\u3057\u306640\u5e74\u9593\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u306f\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306b\u4e0b\u304c\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u304d\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/2025-1-17-us-10-year-treasury-bond-yield-long-term-chart.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"612\" height=\"479\" src=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/2025-1-17-us-10-year-treasury-bond-yield-long-term-chart.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-58649\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/2025-1-17-us-10-year-treasury-bond-yield-long-term-chart.png 612w, https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/2025-1-17-us-10-year-treasury-bond-yield-long-term-chart-300x235.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 612px) 100vw, 612px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u91d1\u5229\u4f4e\u4e0b\u306f\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u3082\u5f53\u7136\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u305f\u3002\u91d1\u5229\u4f4e\u4e0b\u306f\u682a\u4fa1\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u91d1\u5229\u304c10%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3082\u4e0b\u304c\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u3069\u308c\u3060\u3051\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\u3060\u3063\u305f\u306e\u304b\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304c\u554f\u984c\u306f2\u3064\u3042\u308b\u30021\u3064\u306f\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u305a\u3063\u3068\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3067\u304d\u305f\u306e\u306f\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3001\u4eca\u306f\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u3053\u306e40\u5e74\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3088\u3046\u306b\u4e0b\u304c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u6709\u308a\u5f97\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u74b0\u5883\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4eba\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u6307\u6458\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u4eca\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u74b0\u5883\u306f\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306b\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3059\u308b\u76f8\u5834\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u30021980\u5e74\u524d\u534a\u304b\u30892020\u5e74\u307e\u3067\u306e\u9577\u671f\u91d1\u5229\u306e13%\u306e\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3092\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u5ea6\u7e70\u308a\u8fd4\u305b\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u8ab0\u3067\u3082\u540c\u610f\u3059\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u7d50\u8ad6<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u7e8f\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u4eca\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u74b0\u5883\u306f\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u3068\u306f\u9055\u3046\u3002\u8ab0\u3067\u3082\u3053\u306e\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u74b0\u5883\u3092\u3069\u3046\u751f\u304d\u629c\u304f\u306e\u304b\u3092\u8003\u3048\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u304c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u3069\u3046\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53ca\u307c\u3059\u304b\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002Bridgewater\u306e\u30ec\u30a4\u30fb\u30c0\u30ea\u30aa\u6c0f\u306f\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306b\u3059\u3050\u300e<a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3IWcV1T\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306b\u5bfe\u51e6\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u539f\u5247<\/a>\u300f\u3092\u66f8\u304d\u3001\u65b0\u305f\u306a\u74b0\u5883\u304c\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3092\u4e88\u60f3\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u3057\u3066\u66f4\u306b\u65b0\u8457\u3092\u767a\u8868\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/58483\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"58483\">\u30ec\u30a4\u30fb\u30c0\u30ea\u30aa\u6c0f\u306e\u65b0\u8457: \u57fa\u8ef8\u901a\u8ca8\u3092\u6301\u3064\u4e16\u754c\u4e00\u306e\u5927\u56fd\u3067\u3082\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\u5897\u52a0\u3067\u7834\u7dbb\u3059\u308b<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u3092\u542b\u3081\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u306b\u8b66\u9418\u3092\u9cf4\u3089\u3059\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f\u591a\u3044\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/58610\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"58610\">\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f: \u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3067\u9577\u671f\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u66b4\u843d\u306e\u4e88\u5146<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/56192\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"56192\">\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30b1\u30f3\u30df\u30e9\u30fc\u6c0f: 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\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8a9e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u90e8\u5206\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u4e0a\u3052\u305f\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[118,108],"tags":[131],"class_list":["post-58640","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-us-bond-market","category-bond-markets","tag-jeffrey-gundlach"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58640","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58640"}],"version-history":[{"count":18,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58640\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":58659,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58640\/revisions\/58659"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58640"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58640"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58640"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}