{"id":72066,"date":"2025-11-12T20:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/?p=72066"},"modified":"2025-11-12T14:43:35","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T05:43:35","slug":"%e3%82%ac%e3%83%b3%e3%83%89%e3%83%a9%e3%83%83%e3%82%af%e6%b0%8f%e3%80%81%e3%82%a4%e3%83%b3%e3%83%95%e3%83%ac%e3%81%8c%e8%90%bd%e3%81%a1%e7%9d%80%e3%81%84%e3%81%9f%e3%81%ae%e3%81%ab%e6%99%af%e6%b0%97","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/72066","title":{"rendered":"\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u843d\u3061\u7740\u3044\u305f\u306e\u306b\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u304c\u6765\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u7406\u7531\u3092\u8a9e\u308b"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>DoubleLine Capital\u306e\u30b8\u30a7\u30d5\u30ea\u30fc\u30fb\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u304c\u3001\u30c7\u30a4\u30f4\u30a3\u30c3\u30c9\u30fb\u30ed\u30fc\u30bc\u30f3\u30d0\u30fc\u30b0\u6c0f\u3068\u306e\u5bfe\u8ac7\u3067\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8a9e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306e\u73fe\u91d1\u7d66\u4ed8<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u682a\u4fa1\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3084\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u66b4\u9a30\u3070\u304b\u308a\u8a71\u984c\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u5c11\u3057\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u52d5\u5411\u306b\u8996\u70b9\u3092\u623b\u3057\u3066\u307f\u3088\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306e\u73fe\u91d1\u7d66\u4ed8\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u306f\u591a\u984d\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u304c\u6ce8\u5165\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306f\u3001\u5e02\u4e2d\u306b\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u73fe\u91d1\u3084\u9810\u91d1\u306e\u7dcf\u91cf\u3092\u8868\u3059\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306e\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u306b\u3088\u304f\u8868\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-sep-us-m2-money-supply-chart.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"513\" src=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-sep-us-m2-money-supply-chart.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-72074\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-sep-us-m2-money-supply-chart.png 600w, https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-sep-us-m2-money-supply-chart-300x257.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306b\u6025\u6fc0\u306b\u5897\u52a0\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5206\u304b\u308b\u3002\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306f\u305d\u306e\u5f8cFed\uff08\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\uff09\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u6e1b\u5c11\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001Fed\u304c\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u3092\u6b62\u3081\u305f\u5f71\u97ff\u30672024\u5e74\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u304b\u3089\u4e0a\u6607\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u3092\u518d\u958b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eca\u3067\u306fFed\u306f\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u3092\u518d\u958b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/71997\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"71997\">\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f: \u30d1\u30a6\u30a8\u30eb\u8b70\u9577\u304c\u9000\u4efb\u3059\u308c\u3070\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u306f\u3082\u3063\u3068\u7de9\u548c\u7684\u306b\u306a\u308b<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306e\u63a8\u79fb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u4e0a\u8a18\u306e\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306f\u6570\u5e74\u524d\u306b\u30de\u30a4\u30ca\u30b9\u6210\u9577\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306f\u666e\u901a\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u304c\u6765\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3060\u304c\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u305d\u3046\u306a\u3089\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u4f9b\u7d66\u3055\u308c\u305f\u8cc7\u91d1\u91cf\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u77ed\u671f\u9593\u306b\u5927\u5e45\u306b\u4e0b\u304c\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u304b\u3089\u5927\u91cf\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u304c\u629c\u304d\u53d6\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u305d\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306e\u6e1b\u5c11\u304c\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001\u666e\u901a\u306f\u7d4c\u6e08\u306f\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304c\u3001\u4e0a\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306b\u773a\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4eba\u306b\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\u3067\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u306f\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3082\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304c\u7406\u89e3\u51fa\u6765\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u4f55\u6545\u306a\u3089\u3070\u3001\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u306e\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306e\u6642\u306b\u7c73\u56fd\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u6ce8\u5165\u3055\u308c\u305f\u8cc7\u91d1\u304c\u3042\u307e\u308a\u306b\u83ab\u5927\u3060\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3001\u591a\u5c11\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u304c\u6e1b\u3063\u3066\u3082\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u9055\u3044\u306f\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3089\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306f\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u4e0b\u304c\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u5358\u306b\u4e0b\u304c\u3063\u305f\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3080\u3057\u308d\u3001\u30c8\u30fc\u30bf\u30eb\u3067\u898b\u308c\u3070\u3084\u306f\u308a\u5927\u304d\u304f\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u304c\u30011\u5e74\u306a\u3069\u306e\u30b9\u30d1\u30f3\u3067\u898b\u308c\u3070\u30de\u30cd\u30fc\u30b5\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u306e\u5927\u5e45\u6e1b\u5c11\u3060\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u308b\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u307e\u3060\u666f\u6c17\u5f8c\u9000\u306b\u9665\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u7406\u7531\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3001\u3053\u3053\u304b\u3089\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306fCPI\uff08\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff09\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3082\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u305d\u3057\u3066\u540c\u3058\u3053\u3068\u304cCPI\u306b\u3082\u8a00\u3048\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u52d5\u5411<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CPI\u306f\u3069\u3046\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3002\u540c\u3058\u6642\u671f\u306e\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u300c\u7387\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u7269\u4fa1\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-sep-cpi-chart.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"513\" src=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-sep-cpi-chart.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-72085\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-sep-cpi-chart.png 600w, https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/2025-sep-cpi-chart-300x257.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306b\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u304c\u6025\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304b\u3089\u5206\u304b\u308b\u3002\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u306f9%\u7a0b\u5ea6\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u306f2%\u53f0\u306b\u307e\u3067\u623b\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u306e\u52fe\u914d\u304c2023\u5e74\u9803\u304b\u3089\u7de9\u3084\u304b\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304b\u3089\u3082\u305d\u308c\u306f\u8aad\u307f\u53d6\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304c\u3001\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3089\u3044\u305f\u3044\u306e\u306f\u3001\u52fe\u914d\u304c\u5143\u306b\u623b\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3089\u3068\u3044\u3063\u3066\u3001\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306b\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u305f\u7269\u4fa1\u304c\u5143\u306b\u623b\u3063\u305f\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u30ac\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u6c0f\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u4eca\u3084\u7269\u4fa1\u306f2%\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u304b\u3089\u5927\u304d\u304f\u4e0a\u3076\u308c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c5\u5e74\u3067\u305d\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306b\u56de\u5e30\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u601d\u3048\u3070\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u306f\u3080\u3057\u308d\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u597d\u8abf\u306e\u7406\u7531<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8981\u3059\u308b\u306b\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306f\u53ce\u307e\u3063\u305f\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u7387\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u4e0a\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u52fe\u914d\u306f\u5143\u306b\u623b\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u3082\u5b9f\u611f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u30b9\u30fc\u30d1\u30fc\u306b\u4e26\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u5546\u54c1\u306e\u5024\u6bb5\u304c\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u524d\u306e\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u623b\u3063\u305f\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306b\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f\u7269\u4fa1\u306f\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f\u307e\u307e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u300c\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u304c\u623b\u3063\u305f\u300d\u300c\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u304c9%\u304b\u30892%\u307e\u3067\u4e0b\u304c\u3063\u305f\u300d\u3053\u3068\u3092\u7406\u7531\u306b\u3001\u305d\u308c\u307b\u3069\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u304c\u4e0b\u304c\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3060\u304b\u3089\u7d4c\u6e08\u306b\u3082\u30c0\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3070\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3092\u5ff5\u982d\u306b\u5165\u308c\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306e\u7de9\u548c\u3092\u672c\u5f53\u306e\u610f\u5473\u3067\u7121\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u7269\u4fa1\u6c34\u6e96\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u304c\u5143\u306b\u623b\u308b\uff08\u3064\u307e\u308a\u30c7\u30d5\u30ec\u306b\u306a\u308b\uff09\u3088\u3046\u306a\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u3092\u3084\u3089\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u304c2%\u306b\u623b\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3089\u3068\u3044\u3063\u3066\u3001\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u5f8c\u306e\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u304c\u6975\u3081\u3066\u7de9\u548c\u7684\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u5909\u308f\u308a\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3060\u304b\u3089\u682a\u4fa1\u3082\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u3082\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/71071\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"71071\">\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u30fb\u30b8\u30e7\u30fc\u30f3\u30ba\u6c0f\u306e\u682a\u4fa1\u4e88\u60f3\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u682a\u306f\u3053\u3053\u304b\u3089\u30c9\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30e0\u30d0\u30d6\u30eb\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b2\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u66b4\u9a30\u3059\u308b<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/67621\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"67621\">\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\u4e88\u60f3: \u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u9ad8\u9a30\u306f\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u306e\u7d19\u5e63\u5370\u5237\u61f8\u5ff5\u304c\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u7d42\u308f\u308b\u307e\u3067\u7d9a\u304f<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DoubleLine 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