{"id":7730,"date":"2018-07-30T08:32:37","date_gmt":"2018-07-29T23:32:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/?p=7730"},"modified":"2018-07-30T08:35:56","modified_gmt":"2018-07-29T23:35:56","slug":"%e6%a0%aa%e5%bc%8f%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e5%b4%a9%e5%a3%8a%e3%82%92%e5%b0%8e%e3%81%8f2018%e5%b9%b4%e5%be%8c%e5%8d%8a%e3%81%aefomc%e4%bc%9a%e5%90%88%e5%88%a9%e4%b8%8a%e3%81%92%e7%a2%ba%e7%8e%87%e3%81%ae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/7730","title":{"rendered":"\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u5d29\u58ca\u3092\u5c0e\u304f2018\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u306eFOMC\u4f1a\u5408\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u4e00\u89a7"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6052\u4f8b\u306eFOMC\u4f1a\u5408\u304c\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u30012018\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u306eFOMC\u4f1a\u5408\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u3069\u306e\u30bf\u30a4\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u4f55\u5ea6\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3092\u4e00\u5ea6\u7e8f\u3081\u3066\u304a\u304d\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u304b\u3089\u6bce\u6708\u5927\u91cf\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u63da\u3052\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3067\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u304c\u3044\u3064\u307e\u3067\u7d9a\u304f\u306e\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u547d\u904b\u3092\u5de6\u53f3\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><!--more-->\u5468\u77e5\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3068\u91cf\u7684\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u3068\u3044\u30462\u7a2e\u985e\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u3092\u7d99\u7d9a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306f\u65e2\u306b2\u56de\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u884c\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002Fed\u306e\u81ea\u5df1\u7533\u544a\u3067\u306f\u5e74\u5185\u306b\u3042\u30682\u56de\u3001\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3042\u30681\u56de\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u884c\u3046\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u30018\u6708\u30019\u6708\u300111\u6708\u300112\u6708\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u5185\u3001\u3069\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u884c\u3046\u306e\u304b\u3001\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u884c\u308f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u5ea6\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304f\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u3069\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306e\u304b\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u3053\u3067\u3001\u5e74\u5185\u306e4\u56de\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3080\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u63b2\u8f09\u3057\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u518d\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u305f\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u5148\u7269\u5e02\u5834\u3092\u898b\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5404\u4f1a\u5408\u306e\u5f8c\u306b\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u3069\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u3069\u3053\u307e\u3067\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304b\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u3092\u77e5\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u306f1.75%-2.00%\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u306b\u53ce\u307e\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306bFed\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u7ba1\u7406\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u30920.25%\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u30018\u67081\u65e5\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u4f1a\u5408\u5f8c\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u3092\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>1.75%-2.00%:<\/strong> 96.9%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.00%-2.25%:<\/strong> 3.1%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u6570\u5b57\u306f\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u304c\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u306b\u7559\u307e\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u4e88\u60f3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u306f\u3053\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3067\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u6b21\u306e9\u6708\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u306f\u3069\u3046\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b\uff1f<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>1.75%-2.00%:<\/strong> 8.5%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.00%-2.25%:<\/strong> 88.6%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.25%-2.50%:<\/strong> 2.8%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u4e00\u6bb5\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u30662.00%-2.25%\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u4e00\u756a\u9ad8\u3044\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u30019\u6708\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u306f\u9ad8\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u884c\u308f\u308c\u308b\u3068\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u8e0f\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b21\u306f11\u6708\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>1.75%-2.00%:<\/strong> 8.1%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.00%-2.25%:<\/strong> 84.5%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.25%-2.50%:<\/strong> 7.3%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.50%-2.75%:<\/strong> 0.1%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u30822.00%-2.25%\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u306e\u9ad8\u78ba\u7387\u306f\u5909\u308f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u30019\u6708\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306e\u5f8c\u300111\u6708\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u4e88\u60f3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5f8c\u306b12\u6708\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>1.75%-2.00%:<\/strong> 2.0%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.00%-2.25%:<\/strong> 26.6%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.25%-2.50%:<\/strong> 65.8%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.50%-2.75%:<\/strong> 5.6%<\/li>\n<li><strong>2.75%-3.00%:<\/strong> 0.1%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>12\u6708\u306b\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u5ea6\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u4e00\u756a\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3044\u308b\u304c\u300112\u6708\u306b\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u306a\u3044\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3082\u7121\u3044\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7d50\u8ad6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u7e8f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u306f\u30018\u6708\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306a\u3057\u30019\u6708\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3042\u308a\u300111\u6708\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306a\u3057\u300112\u6708\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u3042\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u4e00\u756a\u9ad8\u304f\u3001\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306a\u3057\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002\u5e74\u5185\u66f4\u306b2\u56de\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u30e1\u30a4\u30f3\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306a\u3051\u308c\u30701\u56de\u3068\u306a\u308a\u3001Fed\u306e\u81ea\u5df1\u7533\u544a\u3092\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u5f62\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f55\u5ea6\u3082\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u304c\u3044\u3064\u307e\u3067\u7d9a\u304f\u304b\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002Fed\u306f\u5927\u307e\u304b\u306b\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u30822.5%\u304b\u30893.0%\u306e\u9593\u3067\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u6b62\u3081\u308b\u3068\u7b46\u8005\u306f\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u5b9f\u4f53\u7d4c\u6e08\u304c\u597d\u8abf\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308c\u3070\u3001\u9045\u304f\u3068\u30822019\u5e74\u524d\u534a\u306b\u306f\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u3059\u3079\u3066\u7d42\u3048\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u307f\u306b\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u30822.5%\u304b\u30893.0%\u306e\u9593\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u898b\u65b9\u304c\u7b46\u8005\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3002Fed\u81ea\u8eab\u306f\u66f4\u306b\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u3044\u305a\u308c\u304b\u306e\u30bf\u30a4\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u4fee\u6b63\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7d50\u8ad6\u304b\u3089\u8a00\u3048\u3070\u3001Fed\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u73fe\u5728\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u30cf\u30c8\u6d3e\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u30012019\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u307e\u3067\u306f\u7121\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3053\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u70b9\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u3046\u306a\u308c\u3070\u3069\u3046\u306a\u308b\u304b\uff1f\u3000\u305d\u308c\u306f\u6700\u8fd1\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u901a\u308a\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u304c\u65e2\u306b\u66b4\u843d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u65b0\u8208\u56fd\u306e\u307f\u306a\u3089\u305a\u3001\u5148\u9032\u56fd\u306b\u3082\u53ca\u3076\u306b\u306f\u3001\u3053\u3053\u304b\u30891\u5e74\u306f\u5341\u5206\u306a\u6642\u9593\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/7683\">2019\u5e74\u3078\u306e\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306e\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u63a8\u79fb\u4e88\u60f3\u3068\u7a7a\u58f2\u308a\u958b\u59cb<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/7717\">4-6\u6708\u671f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30abGDP\u3067\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u5d29\u58ca\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304c\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u305f<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u305d\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u4e0b\u3067\u4e00\u756a\u9762\u767d\u3044\u306e\u306f\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3068\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u7279\u306b\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3067\u30c9\u30eb\u9ad8\u306b\u306a\u3089\u305a\u3001\u3080\u3057\u308d\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u304c\u4e0b\u843d\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304c\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u4e0a\u8a18\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3001\u672a\u8aad\u306e\u8aad\u8005\u306f\u662f\u975e\u8aad\u3093\u3067\u3082\u3089\u3044\u305f\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6052\u4f8b\u306eFOMC\u4f1a\u5408\u304c\u8fd1\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u30012018\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u306eFOMC\u4f1a\u5408\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u3069\u306e\u30bf\u30a4\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u4f55\u5ea6\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3092\u4e00\u5ea6\u7e8f\u3081\u3066\u304a\u304d\u305f\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u304b\u3089\u6bce\u6708\u5927\u91cf\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u63da\u3052\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u73fe &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalmacroresearch.org\/jp\/archives\/7730\" class=\"more-link\">\u7d9a\u304d\u3092\u8aad\u3080 <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u5d29\u58ca\u3092\u5c0e\u304f2018\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u306eFOMC\u4f1a\u5408\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u4e00\u89a7<\/span> <span 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