How the ECB’s QE extension affects the euro: the QE timeline and the forecast of EUR/USD

On the third of November, 2015, the ECB (European Central Bank) decided to cut interest rates and to extend its quantitative easing. Whilst we interpreted the market’s reaction in the following article, in this article we analyze how the increasing monetary base affects EUR/USD in a long term.

In this meeting, the deposit rate was lowered from -0.20% to -0.30%, and the QE programme was extended from September 2016 to March 2017. Thus, we first look into how the monetary base changes by the end of March 2017.

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